Biologics to overtake small molecules in solid tumors treatment by 2027

In contrast to this dominance, biologics have become the leading molecule type within the solid tumor indication, accounting for 64% of drugs.

This composition shift signifies that pharma companies are turning to new approaches to tackle cancer​ and overcome obstacles within this indication, and may showcase a new era of personalized medicine.

Against this backdrop, biologics​ are poised to overtake innovative small molecules in terms of sales revenue by 2027, with forecast sales of $120 billion, according to data and analytics firm GlobalData.

Small molecules, simple compounds that are manufactured via chemical synthesis, can have diverse mechanisms of action, offer versatile administration routes alongside high oral bioavailability, and are cheap to manufacture.

As such, small molecules have enjoyed historical predominance, with approximately 80% of all drugs being small molecules, according to GlobalData’s drugs database.

Alternatively, biologic drugs are derived from living organisms produced by cutting-edge biotechnological technologies and methods.

The term biologic covers a variety of molecule types, including monoclonal antibodies and cell therapies​.

These therapies offer different modalities to treat diseases that were once considered impossible to target and can be used in conditions for which no other treatments are available.

Since the advent of genetic engineering in the early 1980s, biologics production and development have been steadily gaining ground.

Despite biologics constituting 51% of oncological drugs, this molecule type has emerged as a clear dominating factor within the solid tumor indication.

In this scenario, biologics constitute 64% of drugs, compared to 34% for small molecules. This unusual proportion is particularly apparent when compared to all drugs on the database, with biologics accounting for less than 20%.

Solid tumors possess various obstacles to treatment, such as an abnormal vasculature, which impedes drug homing and penetration.

Jasper Morley, drugs intelligence analyst at GlobalData, said: “Advancements in cancer research have enabled the development of biologics to overcome such obstacles associated with solid tumors. These advancements have acted as a precursor for the dominance of this molecule type in this indication.”

Biologics utilize various means to specifically target cancerous cells. This enhanced level of targeted therapy enables a tailored treatment paradigm whereby the drug can penetrate a solid tumor to a greater extent than small molecules, leading to effective and uniform distribution.

One key example is chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T cell therapies. This treatment involves the genetic modification of a patient’s T cells to specifically target antigens expressed on cancerous cells.

Such modifications enable a more precise and targeted approach compared to traditional small molecules.

Gilead Sciences’ Yescarta (axicabtagene ciloleucel) is an example of a successful CAR T immunotherapy. First approved in 2017, this drug is forecast to generate sales of nearly $2.5 billion in 2029 alone.

Research efforts have enabled vast advancements in drug development. Biologics offer great utility in solid tumors compared to traditional small molecules due to their high levels of target specificity and tumor penetration. Given these advantages, biologics now dominate this specific indication, says GlobalData.

Morley concludes: “As research progresses, even more promising and effective biologic modalities are likely to emerge, shifting the balance further in favor of this molecule type.”